Economic Consulting Services & Advisory
Econometric modelling, macroeconomic research and policy analysis for institutions, businesses and publishers. Every engagement is built on primary data, and every result is delivered with its method and its limits stated.
Advisory Services
Economic Consulting & Advisory Services
I provide strategic advisory for corporations, financial institutions and public bodies. I translate macroeconomic trends, such as central bank divergence and fiscal shifts, into clear strategies for capital allocation, risk mitigation and market positioning.
Monetary Policy & Inflation Analysis
Specialized insight into the forces driving price stability and central bank actions. I model inflation trajectories, analyze monetary transmission mechanisms, and evaluate the impacts of quantitative policies, interest rates and globalization on financial markets and institutional portfolios.
Econometric Modeling & Data Analysis
I turn complex datasets into predictive intelligence. Using econometric methods such as time-series forecasting, causal inference and machine learning integration, I build custom statistical models that isolate economic impact and forecast with precision.
Macroeconomic Research & Policy Reports
I produce institutional-grade macroeconomic research reports and policy briefs. From sovereign debt sustainability to industry-specific market assessments, I deliver in-depth analyses and strategic recommendations that guide executive decision-making and policy formulation.
How I Work
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The brief
You describe the question and, more usefully, the decision it feeds. I tell you at this stage what the available data can and cannot answer, before any work is commissioned.
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Primary sources only
Every figure is taken from the institution that produced it: central banks, national statistical agencies, the IMF, the World Bank, the BIS. Re-hosted datasets are never used as a source, only as a lead back to the original.
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Cross-validated results
Estimation is carried out in R and Python and the two are checked against each other. This is not ceremony. It has caught real errors in my own work, including a solver that had not converged behind a set of published results.
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Delivery
A written analysis with the data, the method and the limitations all stated. Where a result is uncertain it is labelled uncertain. Scope, format and timing are agreed at the brief stage.
Why Hire Me as Your Economic Consultant
Rigorous Methodology
Analysis grounded in economic theory and econometric method, with every conclusion traceable to verifiable data rather than to assertion.
Published Record
More than 500 published analyses on this site, alongside peer-reviewed academic research. The work is public and can be read in full before you commit to anything.
Specialized Expertise
A deep focus on central banking, inflation dynamics and globalization, rather than the generalist coverage a larger firm spreads across every sector.
Independent Position
No institutional line to defend and no product to sell alongside the advice. Where two official sources disagree, I will tell you which one I would act on and why.
Discuss a project
Tell me the question and the decision behind it. If the available data cannot answer it properly, I will say so before any work begins.