What is a Recession? NBER Rules, Technical Recessions, and Modern Debates
What is a recession? The two-quarter GDP rule is a shortcut, not the official definition. This guide explains NBER methodology...
Recession
Recession Watch 2026: How Economists Predict Downturns and Why They Often Miss
Recession watch headlines dominate 2026 as the Hormuz oil shock pushes Goldman's recession odds to 30%. The yield curve, Sahm...