2026 Iran Oil Shock: How the Hormuz Crisis Reshaped the Global Economy
The 2026 Iran oil shock pushed Brent crude past $108, closed the Strait of Hormuz, and forced central banks worldwide...
Author: Majid Ali Sanghro
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair: Taking Office Into Stagflation and a Divided FOMC
Kevin Warsh Fed chair takes office May 15, 2026, inheriting stagflation, a divided FOMC, and a 30-year Treasury yield at...
External Internal Validity in Economic Research
external internal validity explains how economists judge credible causal evidence inside a study and whether findings generalize across settings.
Power Analysis and Sample Size Determination in Economics Research
power analysis explains how economists connect effect size, significance levels, statistical power, and sample size before collecting credible evidence.
Pre-Registration Economics: Pre-Analysis Plans Before Data
pre-registration economics explains how economists commit to hypotheses, outcomes, sample rules, and analysis plans before data can shape the results.
PCE Index explained: The Fed’s Preferred Inflation Measure
PCE Index explained: the Fed’s preferred inflation measure tracks broad consumer spending, chain weighting, core inflation, and the path toward...
Trump China Visit 2026: Trade, Iran, and Rivalry
Trump China visit 2026 links trade, Iran, Hormuz, rare earths, and Taiwan into one economic test of managed rivalry between...
GARCH model: Volatility Clustering in Markets
GARCH model estimation explains volatility clustering in S&P 500 returns through conditional variance, likelihood iteration, persistence, and risk-desk applications.
Vector Autoregression: VAR Impulse Responses
vector autoregression explains how inflation and unemployment interact through lagged feedback, coefficient matrices, and impulse response functions with confidence bands.
Bank of England explained: MPC, Bank Rate, Inflation Target
Bank of England explained through the MPC, Bank Rate, inflation targeting, financial stability, independence, and the institution’s role in the...