Trump China Visit 2026: Trade, Iran, and Rivalry
Trump China visit 2026 links trade, Iran, Hormuz, rare earths, and Taiwan into one economic test of managed rivalry between...
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Our blog covers every aspect of the global economy, and we update our content regularly, so you can be informed about the most important topics.
GARCH model: Volatility Clustering in Markets
GARCH model estimation explains volatility clustering in S&P 500 returns through conditional variance, likelihood iteration, persistence, and risk-desk applications.
Vector Autoregression: VAR Impulse Responses
vector autoregression explains how inflation and unemployment interact through lagged feedback, coefficient matrices, and impulse response functions with confidence bands.
Bank of England explained: MPC, Bank Rate, Inflation Target
Bank of England explained through the MPC, Bank Rate, inflation targeting, financial stability, independence, and the institution’s role in the...
UK economy: Post-Brexit Reality and Structural Challenges
UK economy growth remains positive but constrained by weak productivity, post-Brexit trade frictions, high debt, energy costs, and persistent inflation...
US CPI April 2026: Sticky Services Inflation and the Fed’s Bind
The US CPI April 2026 report showed headline inflation at 3.8 percent, with energy shocks and sticky services inflation keeping...
Cointegration and Engle-Granger Method: Long-Run Testing
Cointegration and Engle-Granger Method tests whether non-stationary economic variables share a stationary long-run equilibrium instead of a spurious trend relationship.
Granger Causality: Predictive Order in Time Series
Granger Causality tests whether past oil-price movements improve gasoline-price forecasts after gasoline’s own history is included in the time-series model.
Repeated Games and Folk Theorem: How Cooperation Emerges Without Contracts
Repeated Games and Folk Theorem explains how patience, punishment, and reputation sustain cooperation when formal contracts cannot enforce behaviour.
Bayesian Games: Strategy Under Incomplete Information
Bayesian Games explain strategic choice under private information using types, priors, beliefs, and Bayesian Nash Equilibrium.